2023年(nian)10月25日，由廈(sha)門(men)(men)大學管(guan)理學院(yuan)、廈(sha)門(men)(men)大學健(jian)康醫療(liao)大數據國家研究(jiu)院(yuan)、輔(fu)仁(ren)大學AI人工智慧發展(zhan)中(zhong)心(xin)及管(guan)理發展(zhan)部共(gong)同發起，廈(sha)門(men)(men)大學數據挖掘研究(jiu)中(zhong)心(xin)、萬泰科技股份有限公司共(gong)同研發的“2023年(nian)第三季(ji)度海西金融、旅游(you)(you)、健(jian)康、消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)信(xin)心(xin)指數研究(jiu)報告”正式發布。本(ben)季(ji)度是第59次(ci)廈(sha)門(men)(men)金融、旅游(you)(you)、健(jian)康、消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)信(xin)心(xin)指數調(diao)查(cha)及第55次(ci)海西金融、旅游(you)(you)、健(jian)康、消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)信(xin)心(xin)指數調(diao)查(cha)。

本次調查以電腦隨(sui)機抽樣的方(fang)式(shi)對海峽西(xi)岸(an)經濟區23個城市的20歲以上居民進行調查，共(gong)收集有效問(wen)卷5256份。

總指數及四大分項指數穩步上漲

2023年(nian)第三(san)季(ji)度(du)海(hai)西地區金(jin)(jin)融(rong)、旅(lv)游、消費、健康信心總(zong)指(zhi)數為100.93點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)（較2023年(nian)第二(er)季(ji)度(du)，下同(tong)）上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.66點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)（較2022年(nian)第三(san)季(ji)度(du)，下同(tong)）上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)3.57點(dian)(dian)。其中消費指(zhi)數99.35點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.94點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)4.14點(dian)(dian)；旅(lv)游指(zhi)數104.38點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.25點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.50點(dian)(dian)；金(jin)(jin)融(rong)指(zhi)數101.25點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.33點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)3.85點(dian)(dian)；健康指(zhi)數103.50點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.28點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)3.05點(dian)(dian)。

2023年第三季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)海(hai)(hai)西(xi)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)從環比(bi)(bi)(bi)和同比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)看(kan)，總(zong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)及四(si)項(xiang)分(fen)項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)有較大幅度(du)的上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)。可見，相(xiang)比(bi)(bi)(bi)于(yu)(yu)上(shang)(shang)一(yi)(yi)季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)，本(ben)季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)海(hai)(hai)西(xi)整體(ti)發展(zhan)狀況十分(fen)樂(le)(le)觀(guan)。四(si)大分(fen)類(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中，消費指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)仍(reng)舊(jiu)在(zai)(zai)分(fen)類(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中處于(yu)(yu)末位(wei)，是拉低(di)(di)總(zong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的最(zui)主要原因，但消費指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)在(zai)(zai)本(ben)季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)的上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)幅度(du)最(zui)大；旅游(you)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)依然是分(fen)類(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中最(zui)高的，處在(zai)(zai)樂(le)(le)觀(guan)區域(yu)，一(yi)(yi)定程度(du)上(shang)(shang)緩和了消費指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)相(xiang)對較低(di)(di)的態(tai)勢(shi)，金(jin)融(rong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)較上(shang)(shang)一(yi)(yi)季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)有所上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)，并且上(shang)(shang)升到(dao)了樂(le)(le)觀(guan)區域(yu)；2019年新加入(ru)的健康指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)在(zai)(zai)四(si)項(xiang)分(fen)類(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中保(bao)持在(zai)(zai)僅次于(yu)(yu)旅游(you)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的位(wei)置(zhi)，處于(yu)(yu)樂(le)(le)觀(guan)區域(yu)，相(xiang)比(bi)(bi)(bi)于(yu)(yu)上(shang)(shang)一(yi)(yi)季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)，其對于(yu)(yu)總(zong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的拉動(dong)作用進一(yi)(yi)步提升。從總(zong)體(ti)來看(kan)，海(hai)(hai)西(xi)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)今年第三季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)在(zai)(zai)所有方(fang)面都(dou)有一(yi)(yi)定程度(du)的恢復，均(jun)呈上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)態(tai)勢(shi)，且幅度(du)不小，這說明海(hai)(hai)西(xi)地區人民總(zong)體(ti)信心(xin)相(xiang)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)季(ji)(ji)(ji)度(du)而言充足(zu)了許多。

2023年第三季度海(hai)(hai)西的(de)(de)信心(xin)指(zhi)數變化與國內(nei)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發展形(xing)勢(shi)密切相關。2023年第三季度，受就(jiu)業形(xing)勢(shi)改善，政策支持和消費場景(jing)增(zeng)加(jia)、積壓需求釋(shi)放和地方政府(fu)“拼(pin)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)”等(deng)因素(su)的(de)(de)帶動(dong)，我國餐飲(yin)等(deng)多項(xiang)服務(wu)性指(zhi)標(biao)快速(su)反彈(dan)，對經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)拉動(dong)作用逐(zhu)步增(zeng)強，上一(yi)季度經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)形(xing)勢(shi)已經(jing)(jing)有所好轉，在各項(xiang)政策的(de)(de)扶持下，加(jia)之中國經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)本身的(de)(de)增(zeng)長潛(qian)力(li)，第三季度仍舊保持高漲(zhang)勢(shi)頭，預計第四季度國內(nei)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)會得到進一(yi)步恢復。從目(mu)前情況看(kan)來(lai)，國內(nei)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)各項(xiang)指(zhi)標(biao)表現(xian)較好，中國經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)活(huo)力(li)亦將(jiang)提(ti)振全球(qiu)信心(xin)，海(hai)(hai)西地區居民的(de)(de)信心(xin)將(jiang)有所提(ti)升。

旅游信心指數穩步上漲，仍保持于樂觀區域

2023年第三季度海西(xi)地區旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)信心指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為(wei)104.38點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.25點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)。從分項(xiang)(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)看(kan)(kan)，旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)計劃(hua)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為(wei)104.25點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.30點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.45點(dian)(dian)(dian)，旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)收入(ru)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為(wei)104.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.20點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.55點(dian)(dian)(dian)。旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)信心指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)及其分項(xiang)(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)所(suo)(suo)處水(shui)平十分接近(jin)，處于樂(le)觀區域，即(ji)相對其他方(fang)面(mian)，海西(xi)地區居民的(de)(de)(de)(de)旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)信心較為(wei)充足。從環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)看(kan)(kan)，旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)計劃(hua)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)和(he)旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)收入(ru)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)均有所(suo)(suo)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)，從同(tong)比(bi)數(shu)據上(shang)(shang)看(kan)(kan)，各項(xiang)(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)與(yu)22年同(tong)期相比(bi)，略有上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)。目前，旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)業(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)競爭壓力與(yu)日俱增、經濟始終面(mian)臨(lin)下(xia)行(xing)壓力，雖(sui)然(ran)(ran)國(guo)內(nei)形勢已逐漸(jian)轉(zhuan)好，但(dan)旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)業(ye)仍然(ran)(ran)深受影響(xiang)及限制。當然(ran)(ran)，之前的(de)(de)(de)(de)疫(yi)(yi)情(qing)對旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)業(ye)供應(ying)鏈也造成(cheng)了(le)許多不(bu)利影響(xiang)。一(yi)方(fang)面(mian)，疫(yi)(yi)情(qing)特別嚴重的(de)(de)(de)(de)城市可(ke)(ke)能面(mian)臨(lin)供應(ying)短缺(que)問(wen)題，另一(yi)方(fang)面(mian)，受到疫(yi)(yi)情(qing)限制影響(xiang)，多家酒店、航空(kong)公司(si)、旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)景點(dian)(dian)(dian)等(deng)(deng)旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)產業(ye)鏈企業(ye)可(ke)(ke)能出現裁(cai)員和(he)停業(ye)等(deng)(deng)現象，對旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)業(ye)產生了(le)負面(mian)影響(xiang)。在(zai)疫(yi)(yi)情(qing)管控全(quan)面(mian)放開之后，國(guo)內(nei)旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)業(ye)復蘇(su)，國(guo)內(nei)累(lei)計出行(xing)旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)人次也恢復到接近(jin)2019年同(tong)期水(shui)平，但(dan)是旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)作為(wei)居民可(ke)(ke)選(xuan)消費，其信心恢復需要更穩定(ding)的(de)(de)(de)(de)預期和(he)更長(chang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)時間，不(bu)過旅(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)游(you)(you)(you)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)回暖指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)日可(ke)(ke)待。

金融投資信心指數環比、同比均小幅上漲

2023年(nian)第三季度海西地區(qu)金融(rong)(rong)投(tou)資信(xin)心(xin)指(zhi)(zhi)數為(wei)101.25點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上漲(zhang)2.33點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上漲(zhang)3.85點(dian)(dian)(dian)。從(cong)分項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數來看(kan)，金融(rong)(rong)投(tou)資計劃指(zhi)(zhi)數為(wei)101.45點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上漲(zhang)2.40點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上漲(zhang)4.10點(dian)(dian)(dian)，金融(rong)(rong)投(tou)資比(bi)(bi)(bi)例(li)指(zhi)(zhi)數為(wei)101.05點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上漲(zhang)2.25點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上漲(zhang)3.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)。在環(huan)(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)和同(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)方面，本(ben)季度金融(rong)(rong)投(tou)資各項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數均呈現上漲(zhang)趨勢。而且(qie)，各項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數上升至100點(dian)(dian)(dian)以上，處于相(xiang)對樂觀區(qu)域，由于金融(rong)(rong)市場的(de)長期低(di)迷，其低(di)估值吸(xi)引(yin)了一些投(tou)資者的(de)關注，使得指(zhi)(zhi)數在疫(yi)情后(hou)走高。

生活狀況指數與就業信心指數均持續上漲

2023年(nian)第三季(ji)度海西地區生活狀(zhuang)況(kuang)指(zhi)數(shu)為101.18點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.40點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)3.05點(dian)(dian)。從分項(xiang)指(zhi)數(shu)來看，家庭經濟狀(zhuang)況(kuang)指(zhi)數(shu)為100.85點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.35點(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)3.10點(dian)(dian)；家庭支出狀(zhuang)況(kuang)指(zhi)數(shu)為101.50點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.45點(dian)(dian),同(tong)比(bi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)3.00點(dian)(dian)。從數(shu)據可以看出，相較于(yu)上(shang)一季(ji)度，本季(ji)度三項(xiang)指(zhi)數(shu)均(jun)有所上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)，且(qie)三項(xiang)指(zhi)數(shu)均(jun)高于(yu)100點(dian)(dian)，處于(yu)樂觀區域，這說明海西地區人民在家庭支出狀(zhuang)況(kuang)和生活狀(zhuang)況(kuang)的信(xin)心(xin)有大(da)幅(fu)提升。

2023年(nian)第三(san)季度海西地區就業(ye)信心指數呈上(shang)漲趨勢，為99.60點，環比上(shang)漲2.55點，同比上(shang)漲4.10點。2023年(nian)以來，就業(ye)局勢進一步(bu)穩(wen)定(ding)，中央(yang)延續(xu)實施部分減負(fu)穩(wen)崗擴(kuo)就業(ye)政策、確定(ding)進一步(bu)支(zhi)持靈活就業(ye)的(de)舉措，在相關幫(bang)扶政策的(de)不斷推進下(xia)，對本(ben)年(nian)的(de)總體就業(ye)趨勢預期應當(dang)較為樂(le)觀。

耐用品投資指數持續上漲，海西建設信心指數小幅上漲

2023年第(di)三季度海西(xi)耐(nai)用品(pin)(pin)投資狀(zhuang)況指數為(wei)99.10點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)5.57點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。從分(fen)項(xiang)指標(biao)來看，耐(nai)用品(pin)(pin)購買(mai)指數為(wei)99.70點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)5.30點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)；房(fang)地產購買(mai)信心(xin)指數為(wei)98.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.70點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)5.85點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。2023年第(di)三季度三項(xiang)耐(nai)用品(pin)(pin)分(fen)項(xiang)指標(biao)環(huan)比(bi)同(tong)比(bi)均呈(cheng)上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)態勢，且(qie)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅較大(da)，這說(shuo)明本(ben)季度海西(xi)地區居民對耐(nai)用品(pin)(pin)的(de)投資信心(xin)有(you)強勁(jing)的(de)提升(sheng)。2023年兩會工作(zuo)報告首(shou)次提及防范化(hua)解優質頭部房(fang)企風險(xian)，繼(ji)續支持剛性(xing)和(he)改善住房(fang)需求，建(jian)(jian)立實(shi)施(shi)房(fang)地產長(chang)效機(ji)制，擴大(da)保(bao)障性(xing)住房(fang)供給，推進長(chang)租房(fang)市場建(jian)(jian)設(she)，穩(wen)地價、穩(wen)房(fang)價、穩(wen)預(yu)期，因城施(shi)策促進房(fang)地產市場健康發展，在此背(bei)景下，本(ben)季度耐(nai)用品(pin)(pin)信心(xin)指數上漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)明顯。

2023年第三季(ji)度海西(xi)建(jian)設信(xin)心(xin)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為101.30點，位于樂觀(guan)區域，其中環(huan)比上(shang)漲2.50點，同比上(shang)漲2.35點。從數(shu)(shu)據上(shang)看，本季(ji)度海西(xi)地(di)區居民建(jian)設信(xin)心(xin)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)環(huan)比持續(xu)上(shang)漲，同比有較大回升，這說明本季(ji)度海西(xi)建(jian)設信(xin)心(xin)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)有顯著提升。

健康指數持續上漲，處于樂觀區域

2023年(nian)(nian)第(di)三季(ji)度(du)(du)海(hai)西地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)信心(xin)(xin)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)為103.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上漲2.28點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上漲3.05點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。從(cong)分(fen)項指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)來(lai)(lai)看，一(yi)般(ban)健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況(kuang)(kuang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)為102.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上漲2.25點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上漲3.20點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)；健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況(kuang)(kuang)對(dui)比(bi)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)為104.40點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)上漲2.30點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)上漲2.90點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。本季(ji)度(du)(du)的(de)健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)信心(xin)(xin)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)及其(qi)分(fen)項指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)與上一(yi)季(ji)度(du)(du)和去年(nian)(nian)同(tong)期相比(bi)均(jun)有不同(tong)程(cheng)度(du)(du)的(de)上漲，屬于高(gao)位樂觀(guan)區(qu)(qu)域(yu)，近幾年(nian)(nian)來(lai)(lai)，除(chu)去2023年(nian)(nian)第(di)一(yi)季(ji)度(du)(du)，海(hai)西地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)和健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況(kuang)(kuang)對(dui)比(bi)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)一(yi)直保持在高(gao)位樂觀(guan)區(qu)(qu)域(yu)，說明海(hai)西地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)居民(min)整體上對(dui)健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況(kuang)(kuang)較(jiao)為滿(man)意(yi)。未來(lai)(lai)隨著(zhu)國家疫情的(de)全面解(jie)除(chu)，健(jian)(jian)(jian)康(kang)信心(xin)(xin)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)有望(wang)穩步回(hui)升。

總(zong)體(ti)而言(yan)，本季(ji)度總(zong)指數和四項(xiang)分類指數同(tong)比(bi)、環比(bi)均有(you)所上漲，說明海西人民整體(ti)信心(xin)相對提升(sheng)。前(qian)三季(ji)度，我國經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)活(huo)動(dong)有(you)所反彈，經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)(de)(de)復蘇得益于被(bei)壓抑(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)消(xiao)費(fei)需求(qiu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)釋放、房地(di)產活(huo)動(dong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)初步(bu)改(gai)善等因素(su)，在消(xiao)費(fei)者(zhe)支出反彈的(de)(de)(de)(de)帶動(dong)下，預計2023年(nian)中(zhong)國GDP將有(you)5.6%的(de)(de)(de)(de)增長(chang)。展望(wang)今年(nian)第四季(ji)度，隨著中(zhong)國經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)內生(sheng)動(dong)力(li)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)增強、常規性擴(kuo)張政(zheng)策效應的(de)(de)(de)(de)延后顯化、中(zhong)長(chang)期(qi)發展戰略(lve)的(de)(de)(de)(de)布局和項(xiang)目落地(di)、全球經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)形勢的(de)(de)(de)(de)逐漸明朗，出口和物價有(you)觸底(di)反彈跡象，中(zhong)國宏觀(guan)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)有(you)望(wang)加快完成常態化進(jin)程。