每(mei)經記者｜溫(wen)雅蘭(lan)    每(mei)經編(bian)輯｜張凌霄    

7月23日，由廈門(men)大(da)學(xue)管理學(xue)院(yuan)、廈門(men)大(da)學(xue)健康醫療(liao)大(da)數(shu)(shu)據國家(jia)研究(jiu)院(yuan)、輔(fu)仁大(da)學(xue)AI人工智(zhi)慧發(fa)展中心(xin)及管理發(fa)展部共(gong)同發(fa)起(qi)，廈門(men)大(da)學(xue)數(shu)(shu)據挖掘研究(jiu)中心(xin)研發(fa)的“2025年第(di)二季度海(hai)西金融、旅(lv)游、健康、消費(fei)信(xin)心(xin)指數(shu)(shu)研究(jiu)報告”正(zheng)式(shi)發(fa)布(bu)。本(ben)季度是第66次廈門金融(rong)、旅(lv)游(you)、健康(kang)、消費信心指數調查(cha)及第62次海(hai)西金融(rong)、旅(lv)游(you)、健康(kang)、消費信心指數調查(cha)。

調查(cha)以(yi)(yi)電腦(nao)隨(sui)機抽樣的方(fang)式對海(hai)峽西岸經濟區23個城市的20歲以(yi)(yi)上居民進行調查(cha)，共收集有效問卷5277份。

總指數及四大分項指數保持穩定

2025年第(di)二季度(du)海西地區金(jin)融(rong)(rong)、旅游、消費(fei)、健(jian)康(kang)信心總指數(shu)(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.20點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)（較2025年第(di)一季度(du)，下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)同(tong)）下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)2.41點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)（較2024年第(di)二季度(du)，下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)同(tong)）下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.58點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。其中消費(fei)指數(shu)(shu)(shu)107.81點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)2.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.62點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)；旅游指數(shu)(shu)(shu)112.53點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)2.20點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.47點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)；金(jin)融(rong)(rong)指數(shu)(shu)(shu)109.35點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)2.30點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.55點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)；健(jian)康(kang)指數(shu)(shu)(shu)111.28點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)2.42點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。

2025年(nian)第(di)(di)二季度(du)(du)海(hai)(hai)西(xi)總(zong)(zong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)和(he)分(fen)項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)均位于(yu)樂(le)(le)(le)觀區域(yu)(yu)，從(cong)環比和(he)同比上看，總(zong)(zong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)及四(si)項(xiang)分(fen)項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)均有(you)稍微(wei)下降。本季度(du)(du)海(hai)(hai)西(xi)整體發展狀(zhuang)況依(yi)(yi)然(ran)較(jiao)(jiao)為樂(le)(le)(le)觀。四(si)大分(fen)類(lei)(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中，消(xiao)費指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)仍舊(jiu)在(zai)分(fen)類(lei)(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中處于(yu)末位，是拉(la)低總(zong)(zong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)最(zui)(zui)主要原因(yin)；旅游指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)依(yi)(yi)然(ran)是分(fen)類(lei)(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中最(zui)(zui)高(gao)的(de)(de)，處在(zai)樂(le)(le)(le)觀區域(yu)(yu)，一(yi)(yi)定程度(du)(du)上緩和(he)了消(xiao)費指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)相對較(jiao)(jiao)低的(de)(de)態(tai)勢；金融指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)較(jiao)(jiao)上一(yi)(yi)季度(du)(du)雖(sui)然(ran)有(you)所下降，但依(yi)(yi)然(ran)保持在(zai)樂(le)(le)(le)觀區域(yu)(yu)；2019年(nian)新加(jia)入(ru)的(de)(de)健康指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)在(zai)四(si)項(xiang)分(fen)類(lei)(lei)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)中保持在(zai)僅次于(yu)旅游指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)位置，處于(yu)樂(le)(le)(le)觀區域(yu)(yu)。從(cong)總(zong)(zong)體來看，海(hai)(hai)西(xi)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)2025年(nian)第(di)(di)二季度(du)(du)雖(sui)然(ran)相較(jiao)(jiao)于(yu)上一(yi)(yi)季度(du)(du)有(you)所下降，但依(yi)(yi)舊(jiu)保持在(zai)樂(le)(le)(le)觀區域(yu)(yu)，這說明海(hai)(hai)西(xi)地區人民總(zong)(zong)體信(xin)心依(yi)(yi)然(ran)充(chong)足。

旅游信心指數保持穩定，仍保持于樂觀區域

2025年第二季(ji)(ji)度海西(xi)地(di)區(qu)旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)信心指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為112.53點，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降2.20點，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降0.47點。從(cong)分項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)看，旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)計(ji)劃(hua)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為112.60點，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降2.25點，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降0.45點，旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)收(shou)入指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)為112.45點，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降2.15點，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)降0.50點。旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)信心指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)及其(qi)(qi)分項(xiang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)所處水平十分接(jie)近，處于(yu)樂觀區(qu)域，即相對其(qi)(qi)他方(fang)面，海西(xi)地(di)區(qu)居(ju)民(min)的旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)信心較為充足。但本季(ji)(ji)度旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)計(ji)劃(hua)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)和旅(lv)游(you)(you)(you)收(shou)入指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)有略微下(xia)降，是需(xu)要思考與解決的問題。

金融投資信心指數略有下降

2025年第二季(ji)度(du)海西地區(qu)金(jin)融(rong)(rong)投資信心(xin)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.35點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)2.30點(dian)(dian)，同比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)0.55點(dian)(dian)。從分項指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)來看，金(jin)融(rong)(rong)投資計劃指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.60點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)2.35點(dian)(dian)，同比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)0.60點(dian)(dian)，金(jin)融(rong)(rong)投資比(bi)(bi)例指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.10點(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)2.25點(dian)(dian)，同比(bi)(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)0.50點(dian)(dian)。本季(ji)度(du)金(jin)融(rong)(rong)投資各項指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)均(jun)依舊處于100點(dian)(dian)以(yi)上，處于相對樂觀(guan)區(qu)域(yu)。

生活狀況指數與就業信心指數均略有下降

2025年第二(er)季度海西地區生活狀(zhuang)況(kuang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.50點(dian)，環比(bi)下(xia)降2.33點(dian)，同比(bi)下(xia)降0.50點(dian)。從(cong)分項指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)來(lai)看(kan)，家(jia)(jia)(jia)庭(ting)經濟狀(zhuang)況(kuang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.20點(dian)，環比(bi)下(xia)降2.25點(dian)，同比(bi)下(xia)降0.50點(dian)；家(jia)(jia)(jia)庭(ting)支出狀(zhuang)況(kuang)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)109.80點(dian)，環比(bi)下(xia)降2.40點(dian),同比(bi)下(xia)降0.50點(dian)。從(cong)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)可以看(kan)出，相較于(yu)上一季度，本季度三項指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)雖然均有所下(xia)降，但三項指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)均高(gao)于(yu)100點(dian)，處于(yu)樂觀區域，這說明(ming)海西地區人(ren)民在(zai)家(jia)(jia)(jia)庭(ting)支出狀(zhuang)況(kuang)和生活狀(zhuang)況(kuang)的(de)信心依(yi)舊較為(wei)樂觀。

2025年第二(er)季(ji)度海西地(di)區就業(ye)信心指數呈略微下降趨勢，為107.85點(dian)，環(huan)比下降2.45點(dian)，同比下降0.65點(dian)。

耐用品投資指數與建設信心指數保持在樂觀區域

2025年第二季度海西耐用(yong)品投資(zi)狀況指(zhi)數(shu)為107.43點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比下(xia)降2.45點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比下(xia)降0.57點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。從分項(xiang)指(zhi)標(biao)來看，耐用(yong)品購買指(zhi)數(shu)為107.85點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比下(xia)降2.40點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比下(xia)降0.65點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)；房地(di)產(chan)購買信心指(zhi)數(shu)為107.00點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，環(huan)比下(xia)降2.50點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比下(xia)降0.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。2025年第二季度三(san)項(xiang)耐用(yong)品分項(xiang)指(zhi)標(biao)均處于樂(le)觀區域。

2025年第二季(ji)度(du)海西(xi)建(jian)設信心指數(shu)(shu)為110.00點，位于樂(le)觀區(qu)(qu)域，其(qi)中(zhong)環比(bi)下降2.35點，同(tong)比(bi)下降0.45點。從數(shu)(shu)據(ju)上看，本季(ji)度(du)海西(xi)地區(qu)(qu)居(ju)民(min)建(jian)設信心指數(shu)(shu)依舊(jiu)處于樂(le)觀區(qu)(qu)域。

健康指數略有下降，但仍然處于樂觀區域

2025年第(di)二季度海西地區(qu)(qu)健(jian)康(kang)信(xin)(xin)心指(zhi)數(shu)為111.28點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環比下(xia)降2.32點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比下(xia)降0.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)。從分項指(zhi)數(shu)來看，一般(ban)健(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況指(zhi)數(shu)為110.45點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環比下(xia)降2.45點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比下(xia)降0.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)；健(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況對(dui)比指(zhi)數(shu)為112.10點(dian)(dian)(dian)，環比下(xia)降2.45點(dian)(dian)(dian)，同(tong)比下(xia)降0.60點(dian)(dian)(dian)。本季度的健(jian)康(kang)信(xin)(xin)心指(zhi)數(shu)及(ji)其分項指(zhi)數(shu)處(chu)于高(gao)位樂觀區(qu)(qu)域，說明海西地區(qu)(qu)居民(min)整體上對(dui)健(jian)康(kang)狀(zhuang)(zhuang)況較為滿(man)意。

總體(ti)而言，本季度總指(zhi)數和(he)四項分類(lei)總指(zhi)數雖然相較于上(shang)一季度均有所下降，但在整(zheng)體(ti)上(shang)依舊(jiu)處在樂觀區域。

封面圖片(pian)來源：圖片(pian)來源：視(shi)覺中國-VCG211378353242