每日經(jing)濟新聞 2023-09-05 10:44:23
每經AI快訊,中國銀河09月05日發布研報稱:給予環保公用推薦(維持)評級。
行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)觀(guan)點(dian):電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)方面(mian),8月(yue)31日12時(shi)11分,山(shan)西電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)全省光(guang)伏出力(li)(li)(li)(li)達1493萬千瓦(wa),占(zhan)當時(shi)全省用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)負荷(he)的(de)(de)47.6%,創歷史新(xin)高(gao)(gao)。截(jie)至目(mu)(mu)前,山(shan)西電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)光(guang)伏裝機(ji)(ji)(ji)總量達到(dao)2018萬千瓦(wa),占(zhan)全省電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)裝機(ji)(ji)(ji)容量的(de)(de)19.2%。環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)方面(mian),生態環(huan)(huan)(huan)境(jing)部等八部門發布了(le)關(guan)(guan)于(yu)深化(hua)氣(qi)(qi)候(hou)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)型城(cheng)市(shi)(shi)建(jian)設(she)(she)試點(dian)的(de)(de)通知。通知指(zhi)出,為貫徹落實(shi)《國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)氣(qi)(qi)候(hou)變化(hua)戰略(lve)2035》,持(chi)(chi)(chi)續(xu)(xu)實(shi)施(shi)《城(cheng)市(shi)(shi)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)氣(qi)(qi)候(hou)變化(hua)行(xing)(xing)動(dong)方案》,積極探索(suo)氣(qi)(qi)候(hou)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)型城(cheng)市(shi)(shi)建(jian)設(she)(she)路(lu)徑(jing)和模式,有(you)效提(ti)升城(cheng)市(shi)(shi)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)氣(qi)(qi)候(hou)變化(hua)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)力(li)(li)(li)(li),決定(ding)在前期(qi)工作基礎上進一步深化(hua)氣(qi)(qi)候(hou)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)型城(cheng)市(shi)(shi)建(jian)設(she)(she)試點(dian)工作。投(tou)資策略(lve)及(ji)推薦關(guan)(guan)注標的(de)(de):公(gong)用:上半年(nian)(nian)火(huo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)盈利(li)(li)(li)(li)高(gao)(gao)增(zeng)(zeng)長,下(xia)半年(nian)(nian)有(you)望持(chi)(chi)(chi)續(xu)(xu)提(ti)升。以SW火(huo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)為例,2023H1實(shi)現(xian)(xian)(xian)營(ying)(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)收入6021億(yi)元(yuan)(同(tong)比(bi)+9.1%),實(shi)現(xian)(xian)(xian)歸母凈利(li)(li)(li)(li)潤(run)(run)274億(yi)元(yuan)(同(tong)比(bi)+522.3%),毛利(li)(li)(li)(li)率(lv)11.5%(同(tong)比(bi)+5.1pct),凈利(li)(li)(li)(li)率(lv)5.8%(同(tong)比(bi)+4.7pct)。其中(zhong)華(hua)(hua)(hua)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)國(guo)(guo)(guo)際、粵(yue)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)、上海(hai)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)等企(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)實(shi)現(xian)(xian)(xian)扭(niu)虧為盈,華(hua)(hua)(hua)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)國(guo)(guo)(guo)際、國(guo)(guo)(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)、皖能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)、浙(zhe)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)等企(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)實(shi)現(xian)(xian)(xian)盈利(li)(li)(li)(li)高(gao)(gao)增(zeng)(zeng)長。隨著迎(ying)峰度(du)夏接近尾聲(sheng),進入動(dong)力(li)(li)(li)(li)煤消(xiao)費淡(dan)季(ji),目(mu)(mu)前市(shi)(shi)場煤價(jia)下(xia)降(jiang)至845元(yuan)/噸(同(tong)比(bi)-34%,較去年(nian)(nian)高(gao)(gao)點(dian)-49%),下(xia)半年(nian)(nian)火(huo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)盈利(li)(li)(li)(li)有(you)望持(chi)(chi)(chi)續(xu)(xu)提(ti)升。建(jian)議關(guan)(guan)注:三峽(xia)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(600905.SH)、龍源電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)(001289.SZ)、芯(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)科(ke)(ke)技(603105.SH)、太陽能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(000591.SZ)、中(zhong)閩能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(600163.SH)、江(jiang)蘇新(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(603693.SH)、華(hua)(hua)(hua)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)國(guo)(guo)(guo)際(600011.SH)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)(600795.SH)、大(da)唐發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(601991.SH)、浙(zhe)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)(600023.SH)、江(jiang)蘇國(guo)(guo)(guo)信(002608.SZ)、皖能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)(000543.SZ)、福能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)股份(600483.SH)、粵(yue)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)A(000539.SZ)、上海(hai)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)(li)(600021.SH)、寶(bao)新(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(000690.SZ)、協鑫能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)科(ke)(ke)(002015.SZ)、華(hua)(hua)(hua)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)水電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(600025.SH)、川投(tou)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(600674.SH)、九豐(feng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(605090.SH)、新(xin)奧(ao)股份(600803.SH)。環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao):環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)績(ji)增(zeng)(zeng)速放緩(huan),關(guan)(guan)注細分領(ling)域機(ji)(ji)(ji)會(hui)。環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)企(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)2023上半年(nian)(nian)業(ye)(ye)(ye)績(ji)披露完畢,受經濟下(xia)行(xing)(xing)、行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)競爭加(jia)劇等多重(zhong)因素影響,環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)企(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)業(ye)(ye)(ye)績(ji)增(zeng)(zeng)速有(you)所放緩(huan)。以SW環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)成分為例,2023H1實(shi)現(xian)(xian)(xian)營(ying)(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)收入1508億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長0.93%,實(shi)現(xian)(xian)(xian)歸母凈利(li)(li)(li)(li)潤(run)(run)114億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)比(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長2.88%。當前環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)倉依舊(jiu)處于(yu)低配,建(jian)議挖(wa)掘(jue)兩(liang)大(da)方向的(de)(de)投(tou)資機(ji)(ji)(ji)會(hui),一是(shi)有(you)政策催化(hua)、市(shi)(shi)場空(kong)間(jian)大(da)、行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)景氣(qi)(qi)度(du)高(gao)(gao)的(de)(de)成長性板塊,例如(ru)高(gao)(gao)景氣(qi)(qi)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)配套污染治理(li)設(she)(she)備(bei);二是(shi)自身業(ye)(ye)(ye)務穩健,擁有(you)良好現(xian)(xian)(xian)金流支撐的(de)(de)運(yun)營(ying)(ying)類企(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)。建(jian)議關(guan)(guan)注:仕(shi)凈科(ke)(ke)技(301030.SZ)、盛劍環(huan)(huan)(huan)境(jing)(603324.SH)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)林科(ke)(ke)技(300786.SH)、景津裝備(bei)(603279.SH)、美埃科(ke)(ke)技(688376.SH)、高(gao)(gao)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)環(huan)(huan)(huan)境(jing)(603588.SH)、路(lu)德(de)環(huan)(huan)(huan)境(jing)(688156.SZ)、山(shan)高(gao)(gao)環(huan)(huan)(huan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(000803.SZ)、偉(wei)明環(huan)(huan)(huan)保(bao)(bao)(bao)(603568.SH)、久吾高(gao)(gao)科(ke)(ke)(300631.SZ)、賽恩斯(si)(688480.SH)、瀚藍環(huan)(huan)(huan)境(jing)(600323.SH)、清(qing)新(xin)環(huan)(huan)(huan)境(jing)(002573.SZ)。行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)據核心組合表現(xian)(xian)(xian)。
行業動態:1、生態環境部(bu)等(deng)八(ba)部(bu)門發(fa)布關于深化氣(qi)候適應型城市建設試點的通(tong)知;2、《云南(nan)省工業領域碳達峰實施(shi)方案》發(fa)布;3、湖南(nan)省大氣(qi)污染防治(zhi)“守護藍天”攻堅行動計劃(2023—2025年(nian)(nian));4、山西電(dian)網光伏出力達1493萬(wan)千瓦(wa)創新高;5、《2023年(nian)(nian)全球(qiu)海上風(feng)電(dian)報告》發(fa)布!預計未來10年(nian)(nian)新增3.8億千瓦(wa);6、2023年(nian)(nian)第六批可(ke)再生能(neng)源發(fa)電(dian)補(bu)貼項目清單(dan)發(fa)布。
行(xing)(xing)業表(biao)現:環(huan)保(bao):本周(zhou)(zhou)環(huan)保(bao)指(zhi)數(shu)(申萬)漲(zhang)跌(die)幅(fu)(fu)為-3.00%,相(xiang)對滬深300指(zhi)數(shu)變(bian)化-5.22%,其中惠城(cheng)環(huan)保(bao)、中航泰達、ST星源漲(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)分(fen)別(bie)為18.00%、8.90%、6.72%,表(biao)現較(jiao)(jiao)好(hao);而清研(yan)環(huan)境、超越(yue)科(ke)技、巴安水務(wu)跌(die)幅(fu)(fu)分(fen)別(bie)為-13.14%、-14.15%、-14.66%,表(biao)現較(jiao)(jiao)差。目前(qian)環(huan)保(bao)行(xing)(xing)業PE(TTM)20.41倍(bei)、PB(LF)1.46倍(bei)。公(gong)用(yong)事(shi)業:本周(zhou)(zhou)公(gong)用(yong)事(shi)業指(zhi)數(shu)(申萬)漲(zhang)跌(die)幅(fu)(fu)為-0.26%,相(xiang)對滬深300指(zhi)數(shu)變(bian)化-2.48%,其中新(xin)疆火炬、林洋能(neng)源、新(xin)天然(ran)氣漲(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)分(fen)別(bie)為13.25%、9.97%、8.53%,表(biao)現較(jiao)(jiao)好(hao);而陜天然(ran)氣、華能(neng)國際、聯美控股跌(die)幅(fu)(fu)分(fen)別(bie)為-6.18%、-6.32%、-6.68%,表(biao)現較(jiao)(jiao)差。目前(qian)公(gong)用(yong)事(shi)業行(xing)(xing)業PE(TTM)22.55倍(bei)、PB(LF)1.55倍(bei)。碳市(shi)(shi)場(chang):本周(zhou)(zhou)全(quan)國碳市(shi)(shi)場(chang)綜合價格行(xing)(xing)情:最高價73.71元(yuan)/噸,最低價66.87元(yuan)/噸,收(shou)盤價較(jiao)(jiao)上周(zhou)(zhou)五下跌(die)6.34%。本周(zhou)(zhou)掛牌協議交(jiao)易成(cheng)交(jiao)量983,373噸,成(cheng)交(jiao)額(e)67,900,440.73元(yuan),大宗協議交(jiao)易成(cheng)交(jiao)量5,477,711噸,成(cheng)交(jiao)額(e)338,909,497.54元(yuan)。本周(zhou)(zhou)全(quan)國碳排(pai)放配額(e)總成(cheng)交(jiao)量6,461,084噸,總成(cheng)交(jiao)額(e)406,809,938.27元(yuan)。截至(zhi)本周(zhou)(zhou),全(quan)國碳市(shi)(shi)場(chang)碳排(pai)放配額(e)(CEA)累計(ji)成(cheng)交(jiao)量254,484,757噸,累計(ji)成(cheng)160交(jiao)額(e)11,928,103,264.84元(yuan)。
風(feng)(feng)險(xian)(xian)提示:原料價格大幅(fu)波動(dong)的風(feng)(feng)險(xian)(xian);下游需求(qiu)不及預期的風(feng)(feng)險(xian)(xian);政策執行力度不及預期的風(feng)(feng)險(xian)(xian);行業競(jing)爭加劇(ju)的風(feng)(feng)險(xian)(xian)。
每經頭(tou)條(nbdtoutiao)——
(記者 蔡鼎)
免(mian)責聲(sheng)明:本文內容與數據(ju)(ju)僅(jin)供參考(kao),不構成(cheng)投資建議,使(shi)用前(qian)請核實。據(ju)(ju)此操作,風險自擔。
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